Market Commentary: Canada and U.S. Interest Rate Environments and North American Economy Overview
PODCAST August 2, 2018
This episode Mark Therriault and Rob Edel bring another Monthly Market Commentary.
They discuss the interest rate environments in Canada and the U.S., how the yield curve in North America is flattening (and what that means for investors), as well as an overview on both the U.S. and Canadian economies. Mark and Rob also briefly discuss the trade wars, the eurozone economy, and employment rates and wage growth for the U.S. and Canada.
[:49] About today’s guest and topics of discussion.
[1:20] An overview of the Canadian and U.S. markets in the last month.
[3:34] When was the last time the U.S. economy had full employment like they do now? Wouldn’t you expect wage growth to continue to increase?
[4:56] Is Canada in the same position as the U.S. for employment and wage growth? Rob gives his thoughts and concerns.
[6:29] What happens if a deal can’t be made in the trade wars?
[8:42] Rob’s thoughts and greatest concerns about the eurozone economy.
[11:00] Why has the eurozone never really recovered from their financial crisis?
[14:20] How the yield curve in North America flattening or inverting affects interest rates.
[16:17] What would make the yield curve inverted?
[18:40] Are rising interest rates good for investors?
[20:44] Do you extend term/increase interest rate risk thinking rates are going to come back down?
[22:00] What is the impact from Canada and the U.S. raising interest rates while the rest of the world is not?
Mentioned in this Episode:
Rob is the Chief Investment Officer at Nicola Wealth Management. Before joining the team at Nicola, Rob spent 9 years working for one of Canada’s largest money managers and – most recently – as a Portfolio Manager responsible for managing U.S. equities for the firm’s high net worth clients. Previous to that, he spent seven years working for the Treasury Department of a Major Canadian Chartered Bank, splitting his time between Vancouver and Toronto. Rob has completed his CFA and is a member of the Association for Investment Management and Research (AIMR).
For his full bio, visit: nicolawealth.com/our-team/rob-edel
About Your Host — Mark Therriault
Mark is the Financial Advisor and partner of Nicola Wealth Management — and your host for The Wealth Management podcast.
As a member of the NWM Planning Team since 2006, Mark has become his clients’ trusted advisor. He prides himself on providing an exceptional experience to his clients while quarterbacking their financial affairs.
Mark earned his Bachelor’s degree in Economics with a minor in Finance from the University of Calgary. He went on to secure his CFP designation and also completed the CIM, CSC, the B.C. Life Insurance License.
This presentation contains the current opinions of the presenter and such opinions are subject to change without notice. This material is distributed for informational purposes only and is not intended to provide legal, accounting, tax or specific investment advice. Please speak to your NWM Advisor regarding your unique situation. Forecasts, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary research and should not be considered as investment advice or a recommendation of any particular security, strategy or investment product. NWM fund returns are quoted net of fund-level expenses. Past performance is not indicative of future results. All investments contain risk and may gain or lose value. Projected returns are estimates only. Returns are not guaranteed. NWM is registered as a Portfolio Manager, Exempt Market Dealer and Investment Fund Manager with the required provincial securities’ commissions in Canada.